In 2016, CMBS 2.0+ loans have comprised nearly 40% of all defeasance activity. The defeasance of these newer vintage CMBS loans highlights hidden Borrower risk, in the area of defeasance portfolio structuring and pricing. Borrower exposure to securities portfolio markup grows exponentially with 2.0 loans due to a combination of longer maturities and alternative collateral options. Sloppy structuring and poor pricing equate to higher Borrower costs.
U.S. defeasance activity reached a post-crash high of $22.4 billion last year, but the rate of growth slowed sharply. The volume of commercial MBS loans defeased in 2015 was up by $1.5 billion, or 7%, from $20.9 billion the previous year, according to a draﬅ of an annual Moody’s report to be released today. That was a modest increase compared to jumps of $7.7 billion (58%) in 2014 and $7.3 billion (124%) in 2013.
Commercial Defeasance and QuietStream Financial mourn the loss of board member Joe Trustey. He was a valued advisor and good friend. Our hearts are breaking for his wife and colleagues, and our thoughts and prayers are with them.
It’s easy to write-off the future of retail properties based on a few headlines spelling out the demise of some major U.S. retailers. The closing of big-box stores such as Sears or the bankruptcies of major brands such as Radio Shack get plenty of attention.
The truth, however, shows bricks-and-mortar retail shopping centers, mixed-use developments and stand-alone out parcels in many cases to be in fine condition. Lenders and investors are eager to finance and own these properties as consumers return to shopping, fueled by job and wage growth. Read more
Borrowers sprinted to defease their retail properties in the early months of 2015.
About 300 percent more borrowers defeased loans for retail properties in the first quarter this year compared to 2014, according to a Defease with Ease® analysis of Bloomberg data. The trend signals the Wall of Maturities, along with fear of rising rates, is prompting a greater sense of urgency to consider a sale or refinance of their CMBS loan early. Approximately $300 billion in defeasance-eligible loans will mature between now and 2017. Read more
The Wall of Maturities has arrived. Are you ready to scale it?
Hundreds of billions of dollars in commercial real estate loans will mature over the next three years as thousands of 10-year CMBS products from 2005-2007 reach full-term. Approximately $300 billion in defeasance-eligible and prepayment-eligible loans are set to mature.
According to a recent article by Richard Carr of National Real Estate Investor, there is “growing preference for open spaces over traditional offices, efficiency over expansion, secondary markets over class-A buildings in primary cities and, in some markets, a new trend of preferring low-rise buildings or lower floors in high-rise buildings to higher-priced floors at the top.”
According to a recent Bloomberg article, “after years of clamoring to buy the most centrally located rental buildings in major urban centers, U.S. apartment investors are rediscovering the suburbs.”
Nationwide, purchases of apartment buildings outside the urban core climbed 8.2% last year to a value of $82.5 billion.
Last week, the Federal Reserve released its report on regional economic conditions, which summarized district information from each of the Federal Reserve Banks. Based on the information contained in the report, it was clear that bank branch directors agree that the commercial real estate market is stable or improving in most districts.
The report, which is formally called the “Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions by Federal Reserve District,” evaluates the regions in which Federal Reserve Banks are located. For example, the “Boston” report describes all of New England and “Chicago” pertains to most of the Midwest.
Last week, members of the Commercial Defeasance team attended the RealShare conference in Miami. During the conference, over 250 CRE leaders discussed issues and trends related to the multifamily sector in the Eastern U.S.
It was clear that attendees wanted to know if a decrease in home ownership is a paradigm shift or a demographic shift. They also discussed how certain trends are benefiting the multifamily industry.
According to recent statistics, the U.S. homeownership rate fell to the lowest level in more than two decades. This has caused vacancy rates for rental homes to decrease. U.S. vacancy rates for rented homes fell to 7 percent in the fourth quarter, down from 8.2 percent a year earlier and the lowest since 1993.